by Too Fast Eddie | 09/02/2019 10:55 pm
…obviously still not sufficient.
Frankly, I have doubts about if yesterday’s rise can be ascribed in any Elliot-wave count actually…but it can, of course…
Let’s say that BITCOIN has traced an EXTENDED FIRST WAVE.
In this case, the first wave is the longest wave in 5-wave cycle upwards, it is completed and now is tracing the second wave, a corrective one.
We know that, in EW terms, under this scenario, the third wave cannot be longer than the first but neither can be the shortest wave. And so, the 5th and last wave upwards MUST be the shortest one. As a consequence, taking known supports we may draft the following path:
Remember, the time axis is uncertain, I could have sketched the 5 waves more or less inclined, the results would be more or less similar.
Imagine, that the volume keeps increasing, 2 days ago we were stuck permanently at 5b$, now we are moving 6.1b$… let’s be positive and think we are really in front of a “natural” growth in a reversal condition.
In this case, taking as a basis the length of the first wave, the Third must be, usually 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave and, conservatively, I would bet for a short 5th…
After this last jump up we are consolidating. It may occur that from this level the price will fall again abruptly so, the 11 billion $ just entered would disappear again in another “strategical” sell of the whales…
In this case, a new Falling Wedge is appearing.
We can easily see BITCOIN falling again to the 3200 USD on which we may see another test of the already touched support line in blue.
After the current “consolidation” the direction of the movement will show us in which scenario we are.
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