India’s Government To The Rescue

India is the seventh-largest country by area, the second-largest country by population and the first most populous democracy in the world.  Despite having the world’s fifth-largest economy by GDP, India is still considered a developing market.  Because of all these stats, India’s economy is important to the world economy.

Nifty 50 and Sensex jumped almost 5% at 11,236 making fresh 7-week highs, in biggest one-day gains in ten years after India’s Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced a cut to corporate tax rates for domestic companies to 22%. The tax cut will have an immediate impact to stocks as it will increase profitability and now Indian companies can compete with lower taxes other countries. On the macro side the reduction in corporate taxes will increase the fiscal deficit with negative impact on India’s bonds.


The news comes at a great time as overseas funds sold a net $4.9 billion of Indian equities this quarter and on Wednesday marked the biggest quarterly outflow since at least 1999. 

The NIFTY 50 is an index that benchmarks India’s stock market index representing the 50 of Indian’s top public companies in 13 sectors.  So will this corporate tax rate cut help the NIFTY 50 move higher, lets go to the charts?

Monthly Chart (Curve Timeframe) – on the monthly chart, we see negative divergence. In addition, price broke a longer term trend line that started in 2016.

Weekly Chart (Trend Timeframe) – despite the momentum change on the monthly chart, the trend is still up.

Daily Chart (Entry) – the chart suggests to sell the news, as price pulled back to the daily supply at 11350 and bumping up against the up trendline, which should serve as resistance as well.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn’t financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

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